{"id":28312,"date":"2022-03-03T07:22:47","date_gmt":"2022-03-03T15:22:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/?p=28312"},"modified":"2022-03-05T08:50:09","modified_gmt":"2022-03-05T16:50:09","slug":"reading-the-tea-leaves-an-ancient-future-practice-of-good-leaders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/reading-the-tea-leaves-an-ancient-future-practice-of-good-leaders\/","title":{"rendered":"Reading the Tea Leaves, An Ancient-Future Practice of Good Leaders"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">Considered to be one of the leading economist historians of his day, Karl Polanyi gives readers insight into the rise, thriving, and downfall of the many iterations of the Industrial Revolution, a period from around 1733 to 1914, along with the post-war eras of the 1920s to 1930s.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">The Great Transformation<\/span><\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0cannot be read without understanding the context of the author. As an Austro-Hungarian refugee living in England, and later America, who fled his homeland over the fear of fascism, Polanyi experienced not one but two great wars. Living through what was said to be the war to end all wars, Polanyi had to live through the trauma of yet another great war that enveloped the world. He saw how politics, society, religion, and economics played into these conflicts. And lest we not forget a global pandemic during the first World War, 1918, and a Great Depression tucked in between these devastating conflicts.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">You can sense his pessimism in the opening lines of his work, \u201cNineteenth-century civilization has collapsed. This book is concerned with the political and economic origins of this event, as well as the great transformation which it ushered in.\u201d<\/span><a href=\"#_ftn1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\">[1]<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">In talking about how the 19th-century civilization was not destroyed by external and internal attack or barbarians, World War I, Polanyi argued that society was annihilated by the action of the self-regulated market.<\/span><a href=\"#_ftn2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\">\u00a0[2]<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">What\u2019s fascinating about Polanyi\u2019s work is that he was writing as the tide of fascism is being pushed back by the Allied forces. He knows that this global conflict has changed the world, and he was writing to figure out what will happen next in the global economy.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">The key to understanding his thought process is Polanyi\u2019s concept of embeddedness, meaning the economy is not autonomous but subordinated to politics, religion, and social relations.<\/span><a href=\"#_ftn3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\">\u00a0[3]<\/span><\/a>\u00a0He presents this idea as a pushback against the idea of free-market capitalism, showing how civilization is interwoven relationship by which each sector affects the others.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">The economist also showed how markets do not work in isolation but are interconnected, not just within a local society but around the world.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">Polanyi was an expert that attempted to read the tea leaves for the future by looking back at the past. So how do you know what is next when you\u2019ve experienced two wars, a global pandemic, an economic depression, and dramatic shifts in socio-political governing?\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">The Great Transformation<\/span><\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0is an exercise in understanding how we got to where we are as we attempt to figure out the future. It is a reminder that nothing happens out of nowhere. Everything about our world is an intricately interwoven quilt of culture, economics, politics, religion, environment, technology, and the human condition.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">As Clarke argued, \u201cEven more startling than that paucity of historical method, is the failure to consider the use of any historical accounts for understanding current situations. Economists are particularly prone to this failure.\u201d<\/span><a href=\"#_ftn4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\">[4]<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">While we are not in the thick of a great War, our world feels like it is at one of those inflection points where so much has happened in the last few years that the coming five years will be drastically different from what we have experienced before. So how do we read the tea leaves of our time to understand the future?\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">As faith leaders, Polanyi\u2019s work reminds us, in a way, that spiritual discernment is a critical part of leading into the future. And, to be good students of not just the major historical events but also the cultural, economic, political, technological, and social fabric of the present can help us better understand the future.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\"><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">[1]<\/span><\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Polanyi, Karl.\u00a0<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Great Transformation<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. (Boston: Beacon Press, 2001), 3.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\"><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">[2]<\/span><\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Ibid, 257.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\"><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">[3]<\/span><\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Ibid, xxiv.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0in\"><span style=\"color: #0e101a\"><a href=\"#_ftnref4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #4a6ee0\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">[4]<\/span><\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0Clark, Jason.\u00a0<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Evangelicalism and Capitalism: A Reparative Account and Diagnosis of Pathogeneses in the Relationship<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. (London School of Theology, 2018), 123.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Considered to be one of the leading economist historians of his day, Karl Polanyi gives readers insight into the rise, thriving, and downfall of the many iterations of the Industrial Revolution, a period from around 1733 to 1914, along with the post-war eras of the 1920s to 1930s.\u00a0 \u00a0 The Great Transformation\u00a0cannot be read without [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":139,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2235,2233,2234,2237,383,2236,1706],"class_list":["post-28312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-economist","tag-karl-polanyi","tag-tea-leaves","tag-the-great-depression","tag-the-great-transformation","tag-wwi","tag-wwii","cohort-lgp11"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28312","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/139"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28312"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28312\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28313,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28312\/revisions\/28313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28312"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28312"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.georgefox.edu\/dlgp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28312"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}